NSL – Netzwerk Stadt und Landschaft ETH Zürich
  • Projects
      • Projects of the Chairs
        • Prof. Dr. Bryan T. Adey | Infrastructure Management
        • Prof. Dr. Tom Avermaete | History and Theory of Urban Design
        • Prof. Dr. Kay W. Axhausen | Traffic and Transport Planning
        • Prof. Dr. Francesco Corman | Transport Systems
        • Prof. Teresa Galí-Izard | Chair of Being Alive
        • Prof. Dr. Adrienne Grêt-Regamey | Planning of Landscape and Urban Systems (PLUS)
        • Prof. Dr. Eva Heinen | Transportation and Mobility Planning
        • Prof. Dr. David Kaufmann | Spatial Development and Urban Policy
        • Prof. Hubert Klumpner | Architecture and Urban Design
        • Dr. Anastasios Kouvelas | Traffic Engineering and Control
        • Prof. Dr. Christian Schmid | Sociology
        • Prof. Milica Topalovic | Architecture and Territorial Planning
        • Dr. Jennifer Duyne Barenstein | ETH Wohnforum – ETH CASE
        • NSL-Archiv
      • Former Chairs
      • NSL Colloquia – The NSL Colloquia are a bi-annual presentation of exceptional work under a rotating theme determined by the inviting professor.
      • NSL Projects
          • E-Bike City
          • Future Cities Lab Global
          • Urban Potential and Strategies in Metropolitan Territories
 – The Zurich Metropolitan Region as an Example (NFP65)
          • Large-scale Virtualization and Modeling Lab (LVML)
      • NSL Forum
        • NSL Forum & Cycling Research Board
        • NSL Forum: Pandemie? Mitten im Klimawandel. Was bedeutet das für die räumliche Entwicklung der Schweiz? Ein Dialog.
    Close
  • Teaching
    • Teaching
      • Bachelor and Master Degree Programmes, Department ARCH
      • Bachelor and Master Degree Programmes, Department BAUG
      • MSc in Spatial Development and Infrastructure Systems
      • MAS/CAS in Regenerative Materials
      • CAS in Regenerative Systems: Sustainability to Regeneration
      • MAS/CAS Spatial Development
      • MAS Urban and Territorial Design
      • MAS in Housing
      • Doctoral Programme in Landscape and Urban Studies
      • The teaching component of the NSL seeks to impart the knowledge and skills needed to develop the standard strengths of spatial planning and their interaction as well as the ability to develop strategies for the solution of spatial problems. These are central prerequisites for a responsible and successful exercise of planning functions in the service of the public commonwealth and of private companies. Especially important in fufilling these prerequisites is the quality of university-level education: graduate and post-graduate work as well as professional development in spatial, urban and landscape planning. The ETH Zurich has offered programmes such as continuing education courses and post-graduate programmes (NDS, now MAS) since 1965. The NSL (Network City and Landscape) is responsible for these courses and programmes.
    Close
  • Publications
    • Cover NL 65NSL Newsletter – The NSL brings the experts at ETH Zurich together and also maintains a dialogue with other groups that deal with or are interested in issues relating to cities and landscapes.
    • A map describing the different phases of India’s neoliberal highway programme. Source: The author.Publications of NSL Chairs – A complete list of publications can be reached via the following link, which also includes advanced search capabilities:
      • ETH Zürich Research Collection
    • disP – The Planning Review – The interdisciplinary scientific journal covers the topics of spatial development, urban planning, landscape and environmental planning, landscape architecture, traffic planning, and regional and environmental economics, as well as special issues on specific themes.
      • Instructions for Authors
      • Types of Articles
      • Publisher
      • Book Review Guidelines
      • Editorial Staff
      • Latest Issue
      • facebook
    • DELUS Cover Issue 1DELUS – Journal for Landscape and Urban Studies – DELUS is an annual publication by the Institute of Landscape and Urban Studies at ETH Zürich.
    Close
  • News
  • Contact
      • en
        • de
        • fr
        • it
      • Search

    • Close
      • en
        • de
        • fr
        • it

Recovery Preparedness of Global Air Transport Influenced by COVID-19 Pandemic: Policy Intervention Analysis

Chunli Zhu, Jianping Wu, Mingyu Liu, Linyang Wang, Duowei Li, Anastasios Kouvelas
2021
Full text

This work studies the disruption that COVID-19 has caused to the global air transport industry and provides some probabilistic approaches to estimate the time of recovery.

Some policy interventions are outlined that could ease the economic crisis of the sector. Causal Bayesian Network (CBN) is the methodological framework for our analysis. Note that this study has been performed before the vaccines rollout.

Abstract

The outbreak of COVID-19 constitutes an unprecedented disruption globally, in which risk management framework is on top priority in many countries. Travel restriction and home/office quarantine are some frequently utilized non-pharmaceutical interventions, which bring the worst crisis of airline industry compared with other transport modes. Therefore, the post-recovery of global air transport is extremely important, which is full of uncertainty but rare to be studied. The explicit/implicit interacted factors generate difficulties in drawing insights into the complicated relationship and policy intervention assessment. In this paper, a Causal Bayesian Network (CBN) is utilized for the modelling of the post-recovery behaviour, in which parameters are synthesized from expert knowledge, open-source information and interviews from travellers. The tendency of public policy in reaction to COVID-19 is analyzed, whilst sensitivity analysis and forward/backward belief propagation analysis are conducted. Results show the feasibility and scalability of this model. On condition that no effective health intervention method (vaccine, medicine) will be available soon, it is predicted that nearly 120 days from May 22, 2020, would be spent for the number of commercial flights to recover back to 58.52%–60.39% on different interventions. This intervention analysis framework is of high potential in the decision making of recovery preparedness and risk management for building the new normal of global air transport.

×
Share this...
  • Facebook
  • Linkedin
  • Whatsapp
  • Email
This article has been published in the following newsletter edition:

51 | September 2021: Umwelt im Wandel / Transitional Environments

  • Urban Design and the Technological Shift in Transportation
  • Alpine Landschaften profilieren
  • Climate Care, not Green Development. Blurred Notions from Lands in Transition
  • Raum+ in Forschung und Anwendung von transformativen Prozessen
Kurzmeldungen
  • Umfrage zum Forschungs-, Lehr- und Ausbildungsbedarf in der Raumentwicklung aus Praxissicht
  • Martina Voser ist neue Gastprofessorin für ein Jahr
  • Neues Center für nachhaltige Mobilität der Zukunft lanciert
  • Eine Karte der Raumqualität aus Sicht der Bevölkerung
  • Neues Team – MAS Raumplanung
Publikationen
  • How to Achieve Parsimonious Urban Land Use: The Case of Greater Zurich
  • Bypass Urbanism: Re-ordering Center-Periphery Relations in Kolkata, Lagos and Mexico City
  • A GIS-based Model of Outdoor Thermal Comfort: Case Study for Zurich
  • Solid, Fluid, Biotic. Changing Alpine Landscapes
  • Recovery Preparedness of Global Air Transport Influenced by COVID-19 Pandemic: Policy Intervention Analysis
  • disP 57/1, March 2021
Veranstaltungen und Aktuelles
  • Densification: Acceptance and Socio-Economic Effects of Urban Development
  • Co-opolis: The Collective Production of the City
  • MOCK-UP
  • Wouldn’t it be Nice if Architects Started Dreaming About Building Less
  • Urbane Räume: 4 Positionen
  • Book launch: Solid, Fluid, Biotic. Changing Alpine Landscapes
  • Call for Lost Entries: The Shinkenchiku Residential Design Competition, 1965-2020
  • Die Alpen im Fluss. Landschaften im Kontext des Wandels neu denken und gestalten
  • Baukultur und die Stadt
  • NSL Forum: Pandemie? Mitten im Klimawandel. Was bedeutet das für die räumliche Entwicklung der Schweiz? Ein Dialog.
  • 15. Tagung Landmanagement: Landmanagement und Ökologie
  • Histories of Urban Design: Global Trajectories and Local Realities
  • Democracy, Populism, and the Just City (Followed by a panel discussion)
Veranstaltungsreihen
  • Global Housing Challenges
  • Visiting Cooperative Housing
  • Wohnforum Talks
  • Architecture of Territory: Territorial Design in Histories, Theories, and Projects

Chairs

Prof. Dr. Bryan T. Adey
Prof. Dr. Kay W. Axhausen
Prof. Dr. Tom Avermaete
Prof. Maria Conen
Prof. Dr. Francesco Corman
Dr. Jennifer Duyne Barenstein
Prof. Teresa Galí-Izard
Prof. Dr. Adrienne Grêt-Regamey
Prof. Dr. Guillaume Habert
Prof. Dr. Eva Heinen
Prof. Damian Jerjen
Prof. Dr. David Kaufmann
Prof. Hubert Klumpner
Dr. Anastasios Kouvelas
Prof. Freek Persyn
Prof. Dr. Christian Schmid
Prof. Milica Topalovic
Prof. Martina Voser

Contact

Address
ETH Zürich
NSL – Netzwerk Stadt und Landschaft
Stefano-Franscini-Platz 5
HIL H 44.2
8093 Zürich

NSL Director
Director: Prof. Dr. David Kaufmann
Deputy Director: Prof. Milica Topalovic

NSL Coordination
Claudia Gebert
Telephone: +41 (0)44 633 36 33

 

Register for the NSL Newsletter

disP Publication Office

Editor-in-Chief
Dr. sc. techn. Martina Koll-Schretzenmayr, Spatial planner ETH/NDS,
Telephone +41 (0)44 633 29 47

Mailing address
ETH Zürich
Redaktion disP
NSL – Netzwerk Stadt und Landschaft
Stefano-Franscini-Platz 5
HIL H 33.3
8093 Zürich
Fax +41 (0)44 633 12 15
E-Mail

 

NSL Archive (gta)

Research and Bequest Archive for
Swiss Landscape Architecture and Spatial Planning

Consultation Requests

Mailing address
ETH Zürich
NSL Archive (gta)
Stefano-Franscini-Platz 5
HIL C 65.2
CH-8093 Zurich

 

 
Privacy Policy